Developers Missing the Mark: More Entry-Level Housing Needed to Meet Consumer Demand

May 13, 2016

Someone once asked legendary bank robber Willie Sutton why he robbed banks.

It was a simple answer.

“Because that’s where the money is.”

I use that line often to explain why I became a real estate developer and a real estate investor. That’s where the money is. If you work hard and make some smart decisions, real estate can provide a very nice living.

But, something occurred to me the other day. Did Willie Sutton only rob large mega-banks? Or did he rob small community banks, too? His profit take was probably higher at the big banks, but wouldn’t he still be successful if he knocked off the occasional little guy, too?

What does this have to do with real estate, you ask? It seems to me too many developers are taking a “big-bank” strategy. Most new housing starts these days seem to fit the McMansion description – a huge house in a suburban development aimed at wealthy customers. And, why not? Bigger houses likely equal bigger profits.

But, there’s a problem brewing.

The average new house price is simply out of reach for the average household and it’s stifling the American dream of homeownership for many Americans.

Consider these stats:

  • According to the United States Census Bureau, the average price for a newly constructed home in March 2016 was $356,200.00.
  • Median household income in 2016 is $53,657.00, or 15 percent of the average new home price.
  • In 1986, the average new-home price was $111,900.00.
  • Median household income was $24,887.00, or 22 percent of household income.

Household income simply isn’t keeping up with average new construction prices. And, that’s where developers need to take a little bit different approach. There is significant pent-up demand for single-family housing as the economy improves and interest rates remain low. But, most builders are still aiming for the high end, leaving a vast and underserved market of working-class, middle-class and entry-level buyers.

Even rental properties tend to cater to the high-end customer. In Atlanta, for example, 91 percent of multi-family housing projects were aimed at high-end customers in 2015.

Millenials, the generation between the ages of 18 and 34, now outnumber Baby Boomers (ages 52 to 70) 75.4 million to 74.9 million. Given that Millenials are at the early stages of their careers, their salaries simply don’t match up to average new-home prices.

The real-estate industry needs to wake up to the fact that we are pricing too many people out of the American Dream. We must look for ways to provide more affordable-housing options that cater to young buyers.

This underserved market is a big reason why I am a co-founder of the Solo East Condominium ( www.Soloeastnashville.com ) development in Nashville. It is the type of housing that more developers need to build in the coming years. It’s in an up-and-coming Nashville neighborhood, it’s moderately priced, but includes high-end amenities such as granite counter tops. It works for a lot of people as a rental or entry-level home.

Working Americans – policemen, firemen, teachers – and young and upcoming families need their housing needs met, and it’s up to the entire industry to come up with affordable solutions,” McNeilage said. “Otherwise, the American Dream of homeownership is going to collapse under its own greed.

By Bruce McNeilage July 28, 2025
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By Bruce McNeilage July 28, 2025
There have been a lot of headlines about the number of investors, both large and small, snapping up homes as investments. Kinloch Partners co-founder & CEO Bruce McNeilage explains who these investors are and why so many are getting into housing. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Asking for a Trend here . Click the image above to watch the entire video. 00:00 Speaker A When we talk about these investors moving in, what kind of investors are we talking about, Bruce? Are we talking about relatively are these smaller investors, or these private equity players? Who are they? 00:18 Bruce Sure, they're all the above, right? They're small mom and pop investors. They're buying four and five houses here and there. They're mid-tier companies like us. We'd like to do another 100 to 200 houses by the end of the year. They're larger players, and then there are the ones in between. Now, family offices, sovereign wealth funds, the hedge funds, the REITs, everybody is coming into the market right now. There's been too much money on the sidelines, and we're really starting to see these builders benefit because they have a lot of excess inventory, and folks like us can come in, clean up their inventory here in the next few months, and really uh help them with their profits and buy up their inventory. 01:06 Speaker A So that's interesting, Bruce. So part of the trend here is its home builders have a lot of inventory. That's part of the the driver here. 01:18 Bruce Yeah, absolutely. Mom and pops are having a tough time qualifying for mortgages, right? The interest rates are just too high in the last 52 weeks. You know, you look at Freddie Mac numbers, they've basically stayed the same. We're hovering just under 7%. People cannot afford mortgages right now. So the next best thing is to rent a brand new house. Well, who do you rent a brand new house from? The people that have bought one, or the people that have built one. And so we're really offering something that most people can't get, a brand new house, instead of buying it, you're renting it. 02:07 Speaker A And the smaller investor, Bruce, in particular, that this was really the trend the kind of journal pointed out here, is there a reason right now, Bruce, that smaller investors would be more active? 02:25 Bruce Yeah, sure. So small investors can borrow money from credit unions. They can borrow against their 401k. They can do a lot of different things that larger investors aren't going to do. And when you see the the price of houses coming down, when you see the inventory come uh going up, and when you also see all these builder incentives, it really helps a small investor get in the game, so to speak, because they are getting these discounts from these builders. 03:05 Speaker A And is the business model there, Bruce, for the smaller investor? It's what, you move in, buy a home, make some modest renovations, rent it with the aim of of one day selling it. Is that the idea? 03:22 Bruce Yeah, most people are looking at either buying a new house or what I call a used house and fixing it up. You cash flow it for a number of years, let's say three to five years. It goes up in value, and then you sell it. A lot of people are just in this for the capital gains. Some people are in it for the income and capital gains, but the name of the game is to have positive cash flow from day one and then sell it at a profit at the end. 03:54 Speaker A Is there are there advantages, Bruce, a smaller investor, relatively would have over a private equity player? 04:08 Bruce Yeah, I think they can be nimble. I don't think they have the same rules. They certainly don't have investment committees. And so they can choose to buy a house, rent a house, sell a house, and they can pay what they want to pay. You know, again, they don't have a mandate from an investment committee. So if they want to buy something with a lower cap rate, if they want to buy something with a higher cap rate or something big, small, uh you know, older, uh newer, they can be as nimble as they want where the larger funds can't. They have mandates. You know, they have a buy box and uh and and they've got some restrictions, and we do too. 04:57 Speaker A I'm sure, Bruce, there are some folks who are watching this right now who think, well, hold on a second. Doesn't this trend, doesn't this thing that Bruce and Josh are talking about ultimately make it that much tougher for regular Americans, Bruce, to come in and bid and compete?  05:25 Bruce Yeah, so you would think that, but what we're doing is we're not taking inventory out of the market. For us, we're building brand new houses, not taking inventory out of the market. And then these houses are available in the MLS. You know, you buy houses from the different large builders. Anybody can buy those houses today. It's just people are not. So investors are coming in, cleaning up this inventory, buying the houses, but quite frankly, they're available to everyone. It's just people can't afford them. So it's buying up the houses and making more stock available again, not to buy, but for people that can't buy but to rent.
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